Dewa United vs Persebaya Surabaya: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 33Kick-off on May 28, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Dewa United the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Persebaya Surabaya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dewa United vs Persebaya Surabaya?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Dewa United (1,806) and Persebaya Surabaya (1,849).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dewa United have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Persebaya Surabaya have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Bali United(home) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Persis Solo(away) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | PSBS Biak Numfor(away) | 5-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Semen Padang(home) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Persijap(home) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 1-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Arema FC(home) | 1-0 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Port FC(home) | 2-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 29, 2026 | PSMS Medan(home) | 1-0 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Persija(home) | 1-0 | Piala Presiden |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dewa United win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Persebaya Surabaya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Persebaya Surabaya 1-1 Dewa United | Liga 1 |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Dewa United 1-1 Persebaya Surabaya | Liga 1 |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Dewa United 2-0 Persebaya Surabaya | Liga 1 |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Persebaya Surabaya 0-0 Dewa United | Liga 1 |
| Apr 16, 2024 | Persebaya Surabaya 0-3 Dewa United | Liga 1 |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Dewa United 1-1 Persebaya Surabaya | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Persebaya Surabaya vs Dewa United on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dewa United score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Persebaya Surabaya score 2.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dewa United | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Persebaya Surabaya | 2.1 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dewa United sit 7th in Liga 1 (53 points from 34 matches) and Persebaya Surabaya sit 4th (58 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Persebaya Surabaya | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 35 | 58 |
| 7 | Dewa United | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 44 | 37 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dewa United vs Persebaya Surabaya?
- The Footlab model makes Dewa United the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Persebaya Surabaya.
- Where and when is Dewa United vs Persebaya Surabaya played?
- Dewa United vs Persebaya Surabaya is played on May 28, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.