Persepam Madura Utd vs Pusamania Borneo: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 33Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Gelora Madura Ratu Pamelingan Stadium, Pamekasan
The Footlab model makes Pusamania Borneo the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Persepam Madura Utd. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Persepam Madura Utd vs Pusamania Borneo?
Pusamania Borneo starts as the favourite with a 255-point Elo edge (1,927 vs 1,672).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Persepam Madura Utd have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Pusamania Borneo have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | PSM Makassar(home) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | PSIM Yogyakarta(away) | 1-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Bhayangkara FC(away) | 1-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Bali United(home) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Semen Padang(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Malut United(home) | 7-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Persijap(away) | 0-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Bali United(away) | 3-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Persita(home) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Persik Kediri(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Persepam Madura Utd win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Pusamania Borneo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd 1-3 Pusamania Borneo | Liga 1 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Pusamania Borneo 1-0 Persepam Madura Utd | Liga 1 |
| May 10, 2025 | Persepam Madura Utd 2-3 Pusamania Borneo | Liga 1 |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Pusamania Borneo 5-0 Persepam Madura Utd | Liga 1 |
| May 19, 2024 | Pusamania Borneo 2-3 Persepam Madura Utd | Liga 1 |
| May 15, 2024 | Persepam Madura Utd 1-0 Pusamania Borneo | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Persepam Madura Utd vs Pusamania Borneo on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Persepam Madura Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Pusamania Borneo score 2.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Persepam Madura Utd | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Pusamania Borneo | 2.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Persepam Madura Utd sit 14th in Liga 1 (35 points from 34 matches) and Pusamania Borneo sit 2nd (79 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pusamania Borneo | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 74 | 31 | 79 |
| 14 | Persepam Madura Utd | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 54 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Persepam Madura Utd vs Pusamania Borneo?
- The Footlab model makes Pusamania Borneo the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Persepam Madura Utd.
- Where and when is Persepam Madura Utd vs Pusamania Borneo played?
- Persepam Madura Utd vs Pusamania Borneo is played on May 29, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Gelora Madura Ratu Pamelingan Stadium, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.