Diefflen vs Ahrweiler: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarRheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Parkstadion, Dillingen/Saar
The Footlab model makes Diefflen the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 24% for Ahrweiler. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Diefflen vs Ahrweiler?
Diefflen starts as the favourite with a 203-point Elo edge (1,707 vs 1,504).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Diefflen have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Ahrweiler have 0, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Pirmasens(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 15, 2026 | TuS RW Koblenz(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cosmos Koblenz(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FV Engers 07(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| May 30, 2026 | FV Engers 07(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gau-Odernheim(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Emmelshausen-Karbach(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 8, 2026 | RW Wittlich(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Schott Mainz(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Diefflen score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ahrweiler score 0.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diefflen | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Ahrweiler | 0.7 | 2.4 | 0 | 4/7 | 4/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Diefflen sit 13th in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar (4 points from 4 matches) and Ahrweiler sit 17th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Diefflen | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 4 |
| 17 | Ahrweiler | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Diefflen vs Ahrweiler?
- The Footlab model makes Diefflen the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 24% for Ahrweiler.
- Where and when is Diefflen vs Ahrweiler played?
- Diefflen vs Ahrweiler is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Parkstadion, in the Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026PirmasensvsGonsenheim
- Oct 24, 2026TuS RW KoblenzvsRW Wittlich
- Oct 24, 2026Cosmos KoblenzvsGau-Odernheim
- Oct 24, 2026FC Emmelshausen-KarbachvsHertha Wiesbach
- Oct 24, 2026FV Engers 07vsTuS Koblenz
- Oct 24, 2026Schott MainzvsWormatia Worms
- Oct 24, 2026EisbachtalvsMechtersheim
- Oct 25, 2026Elversberg IIvsAuersmacher