Schott Mainz vs Wormatia Worms: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarRheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Mainz Golden Eagles Stadium, Mainz-Mombach
The Footlab model makes Schott Mainz the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Wormatia Worms. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Schott Mainz vs Wormatia Worms?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Schott Mainz (1,846) and Wormatia Worms (1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Schott Mainz have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Wormatia Worms have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 0-5 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FV Engers 07(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Cosmos Koblenz(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Emmelshausen-Karbach(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ahrweiler(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Auersmacher(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Elversberg II(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pirmasens(home) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 1, 2026 | TuS RW Koblenz(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SV Sandhausen(home) | 3-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Schott Mainz win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Wormatia Worms win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | Schott Mainz 3-2 Wormatia Worms | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Wormatia Worms 3-2 Schott Mainz | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 22, 2020 | Wormatia Worms 4-1 Schott Mainz | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Schott Mainz vs Wormatia Worms on Nov 30, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Schott Mainz score 1.8 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Wormatia Worms score 2.7 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schott Mainz | 1.8 | 2.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
| Wormatia Worms | 2.7 | 2.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Schott Mainz sit 2nd in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar (10 points from 4 matches) and Wormatia Worms sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Schott Mainz | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Wormatia Worms | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Schott Mainz vs Wormatia Worms?
- The Footlab model makes Schott Mainz the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Wormatia Worms.
- Where and when is Schott Mainz vs Wormatia Worms played?
- Schott Mainz vs Wormatia Worms is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Mainz Golden Eagles Stadium, in the Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026PirmasensvsGonsenheim
- Oct 24, 2026TuS RW KoblenzvsRW Wittlich
- Oct 24, 2026Cosmos KoblenzvsGau-Odernheim
- Oct 24, 2026FC Emmelshausen-KarbachvsHertha Wiesbach
- Oct 24, 2026FV Engers 07vsTuS Koblenz
- Oct 24, 2026DiefflenvsAhrweiler
- Oct 24, 2026EisbachtalvsMechtersheim
- Oct 25, 2026Elversberg IIvsAuersmacher