Dieppe vs St Maur Lusitanos: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group AGroup A - 10Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jean Dasnias, Saint-Aubin-sur-Scie
The Footlab model makes St Maur Lusitanos the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Dieppe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dieppe vs St Maur Lusitanos?
St Maur Lusitanos starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,846 vs 1,712).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dieppe have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; St Maur Lusitanos have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Epinal(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Caen(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Blois(home) | 2-4 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 9, 2026 | Haguenau(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 2, 2026 | Wasquehal(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Biesheim(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Auxerre(away) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Cannes(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Hyères(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 2, 2026 | Saint-Priest(away) | 3-2 | National 2 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Dieppe win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 St Maur Lusitanos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2017 | Dieppe 0-0 St Maur Lusitanos | National 2 - Group B |
| Nov 26, 2016 | St Maur Lusitanos 3-0 Dieppe | National 2 - Group B |
Last archived meeting: Dieppe vs St Maur Lusitanos on Apr 15, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Dieppe score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; St Maur Lusitanos score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dieppe | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| St Maur Lusitanos | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dieppe sit 4th in National 2 - Group A (1 points from 1 matches) and St Maur Lusitanos sit 10th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dieppe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | St Maur Lusitanos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dieppe vs St Maur Lusitanos?
- The Footlab model makes St Maur Lusitanos the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Dieppe.
- Where and when is Dieppe vs St Maur Lusitanos played?
- Dieppe vs St Maur Lusitanos is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jean Dasnias, in the National 2 - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.