Montlouis vs Bastia-Borgo: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group AGroup A - 10Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Eugène Cholet 1 - Terrain Emmanuel Petit, Montlouis-sur-Loire
The Footlab AI model makes Montlouis the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Bastia-Borgo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Montlouis wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,774 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montlouis vs Bastia-Borgo?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Montlouis (1,759) and Bastia-Borgo (1,777).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montlouis vs Bastia-Borgo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montlouis
Not enough data to predict the Montlouis lineup.
Bastia-Borgo
Not enough data to predict the Bastia-Borgo lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 12:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montlouis have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Bastia-Borgo have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Chambly Thelle FC(home) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group A |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Le Pays du Valois(away) | 1-4 | National 2 - Group A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | St-Pryvé St-Hilaire(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Biesheim(away) | 2-5 | National 2 - Group A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Creteil(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Feignies-Aulnoye(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Colmar(home) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | St Maur Lusitanos(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Haguenau(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Racing Colombes 92(home) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group A |
How many goals should we expect?
Montlouis score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bastia-Borgo score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montlouis | 1.0 | 1.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Bastia-Borgo | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montlouis sit 13th in National 2 - Group A (6 points from 8 matches) and Bastia-Borgo sit 10th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bastia-Borgo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 8 |
| 13 | Montlouis | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 6 |
A question about Montlouis vs Bastia-Borgo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montlouis vs Bastia-Borgo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montlouis the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Bastia-Borgo.
- Where and when is Montlouis vs Bastia-Borgo played?
- Montlouis vs Bastia-Borgo is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Eugène Cholet 1 - Terrain Emmanuel Petit, in the National 2 - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.