Digenis Neochori vs Ermis Exochi: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 · Matchday 18Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Oichalias Babis Papachatzis, Oichalia
The Footlab AI model makes Ermis Exochi the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Digenis Neochori. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ermis Exochi wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,699 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Digenis Neochori vs Ermis Exochi?
Ermis Exochi starts as the favourite with a 214-point Elo edge (1,652 vs 1,438).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Digenis Neochori vs Ermis Exochi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Digenis Neochori
Not enough data to predict the Digenis Neochori lineup.
Ermis Exochi
Not enough data to predict the Ermis Exochi lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Digenis Neochori have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Ermis Exochi have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Ermis Exochi(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(home) | 0-5 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Trikala(away) | 0-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Pierikos(home) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Karitsa(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Digenis Neochori(home) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sarakinos(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Iraklis Larissa(home) | 4-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Feraios(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Elassona(home) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Digenis Neochori wins, 0 draws, 1 Ermis Exochi win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Ermis Exochi 2-0 Digenis Neochori | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Ermis Exochi vs Digenis Neochori on Nov 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Digenis Neochori score 0.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ermis Exochi score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Digenis Neochori | 0.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Ermis Exochi | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Digenis Neochori sit 11th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 (0 points from 1 match) and Ermis Exochi sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ermis Exochi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Digenis Neochori | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
A question about Digenis Neochori vs Ermis Exochi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Digenis Neochori vs Ermis Exochi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ermis Exochi the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Digenis Neochori.
- Where and when is Digenis Neochori vs Ermis Exochi played?
- Digenis Neochori vs Ermis Exochi is played on January 31, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Oichalias Babis Papachatzis, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.