Digiesse PraiaTortora vs CastrumFavara: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I · Matchday 33Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Digiesse PraiaTortora the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for CastrumFavara. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,772 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Digiesse PraiaTortora vs CastrumFavara?
On Elo ratings, Digiesse PraiaTortora has 1,731 points and CastrumFavara 1,652.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Digiesse PraiaTortora vs CastrumFavara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Digiesse PraiaTortora
Not enough data to predict the Digiesse PraiaTortora lineup.
CastrumFavara
Not enough data to predict the CastrumFavara lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 07:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Digiesse PraiaTortora have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; CastrumFavara have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Trapani 1905(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Licata(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Vigor Lamezia(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Milazzo(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Modica(home) | 5-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Vibonese(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Nissa(away) | 1-5 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Reggina(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Trapani 1905(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Igea Virtus(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
Digiesse PraiaTortora score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 11; CastrumFavara score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Digiesse PraiaTortora | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/11 | 3/11 |
| CastrumFavara | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Digiesse PraiaTortora sit 6th in Serie D - Girone I (18 points from 11 matches) and CastrumFavara sit 15th (8 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Digiesse PraiaTortora | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 18 |
| 15 | CastrumFavara | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
A question about Digiesse PraiaTortora vs CastrumFavara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Digiesse PraiaTortora vs CastrumFavara?
- The Footlab AI model makes Digiesse PraiaTortora the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for CastrumFavara.
- Where and when is Digiesse PraiaTortora vs CastrumFavara played?
- Digiesse PraiaTortora vs CastrumFavara is played on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.