Match

Gela vs Ragusa: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 33Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Vincenzo Presti, Gela

GelaRagusa

The Footlab AI model makes Gela the favourite at 49%, against 31% for a draw and 20% for Ragusa. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gela vs Ragusa?

A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Gela (1,584) and Ragusa (1,546).

49%31%20%
Gela winDrawRagusa win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Gela vs Ragusa

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Gela

Not enough data to predict the Gela lineup.

Ragusa

Not enough data to predict the Ragusa lineup.

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:27 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gela have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Ragusa have 1, 7 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gela
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Milazzo(home)1-1Serie D - Girone I
Oct 4, 2026AC Palermo(home)0-0Serie D - Girone I
Sep 27, 2026Digiesse PraiaTortora(away)0-1Serie D - Girone I
Sep 20, 2026Enna(home)0-0Serie D - Girone I
Sep 16, 2026Siracusa(away)1-2Serie D - Girone I
Ragusa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Nissa(home)1-1Serie D - Girone I
Oct 4, 2026Calcio Avola(away)0-1Serie D - Girone I
Sep 27, 2026Trapani 1905(home)0-1Serie D - Girone I
Sep 20, 2026Licata(away)0-1Serie D - Girone I
Sep 16, 2026Vigor Lamezia(home)1-1Serie D - Girone I

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Gela wins, 0 draws, 0 Ragusa wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 11, 2026Ragusa 2-3 GelaSerie D - Girone I
Sep 14, 2025Gela 2-0 RagusaSerie D - Girone I

Last archived meeting: Ragusa vs Gela on Jan 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gela score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ragusa score 0.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gela0.71.139/156/15
Ragusa0.51.146/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gela sit 14th in Serie D - Girone I (5 points from 7 matches) and Ragusa sit 16th (3 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Gela7133575
16Ragusa70345103

A question about Gela vs Ragusa?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gela vs Ragusa?
The Footlab AI model makes Gela the favourite at 49%, against 31% for a draw and 20% for Ragusa.
Where and when is Gela vs Ragusa played?
Gela vs Ragusa is played on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Vincenzo Presti, in the Serie D - Girone I.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Gela and Ragusa

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