Dijon vs Montpellier: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Gaston-Gérard, Dijon
The Footlab AI model makes Dijon the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Montpellier. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dijon wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dijon vs Montpellier?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Dijon (1,935) and Montpellier (1,917).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dijon vs Montpellier
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dijon
4-3-1-2- 11Júlio Tavares
- 9T. Dong
- 14J. Marié
- 8P. Bellon
- 17A. Lembezat
- 20H. Vargas-Ríos
- 23L. Lacroix
- 5Q. Bernard
- 7B. Hamada
- 31M. Faty
- 16P. Delecroix
Montpellier
4-2-3-1- 11M. Camara
- 18N. Pays
- 19N. Mukiele
- 5F. Tardieu
- 44T. Chennahi
- 40N. Vidal-Cartoux
- 15J. Laporte
- 17T. Sainte-Luce
- 27D. Meddah
- 58A. Sissoko
- 31S. Ngapandouetnbu
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:04 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dijon have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Montpellier have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Metz(home) | 4-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Estac Troyes(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Annecy(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Laval(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Boulogne(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Grenoble(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Reims(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | PAU(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Saint Etienne(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Boulogne(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Dijon wins, 4 draws, 2 Montpellier wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Montpellier 1-1 Dijon | Ligue 2 |
| Feb 7, 2021 | Montpellier 4-2 Dijon | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Dijon 2-2 Montpellier | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 25, 2020 | Montpellier 2-1 Dijon | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 4, 2019 | Dijon 2-2 Montpellier | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 13, 2019 | Dijon 1-1 Montpellier | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Dijon score 2.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Montpellier score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
| Montpellier | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dijon sit 7th in Ligue 2 (12 points from 8 matches) and Montpellier sit 3rd (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Montpellier | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | Dijon | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 12 |
A question about Dijon vs Montpellier?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dijon vs Montpellier?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dijon the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Montpellier.
- Where and when is Dijon vs Montpellier played?
- Dijon vs Montpellier is played on May 22, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Gaston-Gérard, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.