Saint Etienne vs PAU: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Ètienne
The Footlab AI model makes Saint Etienne the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for PAU. The most likely score is 1-1. If Saint Etienne wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saint Etienne vs PAU?
Saint Etienne starts as the favourite with a 162-point Elo edge (1,955 vs 1,793).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Saint Etienne vs PAU
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Saint Etienne
4-2-3-1- 7I. Cardona
- 6M. Bernauer
- 8T. Ballo
- 14Á. Csongvai
- 20A. Boakye
- 10J. Breum
- 18S. Nair
- 23K. Pedro
- 11B. Old
- 13João Ferreira
- 30G. Larsonneur
PAU
5-3-2- 9B. Leye
- 7H. Benali
- 21J. Benet
- 6C. Fall
- 19T. Saettel
- 2T. Pouilly
- 29G. Paquiez
- 97A. Abdallah
- 23A. Briançon
- 88A. Bamba
- 1B. Maubleu
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saint Etienne have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; PAU have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rodez(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | FC Sion(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Metz(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Dunkerque(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Montpellier(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Laval(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Toulouse(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Dunkerque(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Montpellier(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Sochaux(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Saint Etienne wins, 1 draw, 1 PAU win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | PAU 0-3 Saint Etienne | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Saint Etienne 6-0 PAU | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 23, 2024 | PAU 0-1 Saint Etienne | Ligue 2 |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Saint Etienne 1-2 PAU | Ligue 2 |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Saint Etienne 2-0 PAU | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2022 | PAU 2-2 Saint Etienne | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Saint Etienne score 2.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; PAU score 1.2 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne | 2.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| PAU | 1.2 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saint Etienne sit 1st in Ligue 2 (19 points from 8 matches) and PAU sit 8th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 19 |
| 8 | PAU | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 11 |
A question about Saint Etienne vs PAU?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saint Etienne vs PAU?
- The Footlab AI model makes Saint Etienne the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for PAU.
- Where and when is Saint Etienne vs PAU played?
- Saint Etienne vs PAU is played on May 22, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.