Dinamo St. Petersburg vs Chertanovo Moscow: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 2Group 2 - 23Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Malaya Sportivnaya Arena, St. Petersburg
The Footlab model makes Dinamo St. Petersburg the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Chertanovo Moscow. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo St. Petersburg vs Chertanovo Moscow?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Dinamo St. Petersburg (1,806) and Chertanovo Moscow (1,727).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo St. Petersburg have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Chertanovo Moscow have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cherepovets(home) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Spartak Moscow 2(away) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | FC 10(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tver(home) | 3-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Iskra Smolensk(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | KDV(away) | 4-2 | Cup |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tver(home) | 4-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Iskra Smolensk(away) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Murom(home) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Luki-Energiya(away) | 2-3 | Second League - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Dinamo St. Petersburg win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Chertanovo Moscow win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Chertanovo Moscow 0-1 Dinamo St. Petersburg | Second League - Group 2 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Dinamo St. Petersburg 1-2 Chertanovo Moscow | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jun 13, 2024 | Chertanovo Moscow 1-3 Dinamo St. Petersburg | Second League - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Chertanovo Moscow vs Dinamo St. Petersburg on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo St. Petersburg score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Chertanovo Moscow score 2.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo St. Petersburg | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Chertanovo Moscow | 2.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo St. Petersburg sit 1st in Second League - Group 2 (28 points from 11 matches) and Chertanovo Moscow sit 3rd (23 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 3 | 28 |
| 1 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 30 | 10 | 39 |
| 3 | Chertanovo Moscow | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 23 |
| 5 | Chertanovo Moscow | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo St. Petersburg vs Chertanovo Moscow?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo St. Petersburg the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Chertanovo Moscow.
- Where and when is Dinamo St. Petersburg vs Chertanovo Moscow played?
- Dinamo St. Petersburg vs Chertanovo Moscow is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Malaya Sportivnaya Arena, in the Second League - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.