Spartak Moscow 2 vs Baltika II: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 2Group 2 - 23Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Futbol'noe pole 4 Akademiya Spartak im. F. Cherenkova, Moskva
The Footlab model makes Baltika II the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Spartak Moscow 2. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartak Moscow 2 vs Baltika II?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Spartak Moscow 2 (1,644) and Baltika II (1,742).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Moscow 2 have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Baltika II have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny(away) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo St. Petersburg(home) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Cherepovets(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Murom(away) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Luki-Energiya(home) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Murom(home) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Luki-Energiya(away) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zvezda St. Petersburg(home) | 4-3 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Torpedo Vladimir(away) | 2-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Yenisey II(away) | 6-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Spartak Moscow 2 win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Baltika II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Baltika II 3-0 Spartak Moscow 2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Spartak Moscow 2 1-1 Baltika II | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Baltika II 1-2 Spartak Moscow 2 | Second League - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Baltika II vs Spartak Moscow 2 on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartak Moscow 2 score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Baltika II score 2.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Moscow 2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Baltika II | 2.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartak Moscow 2 sit 10th in Second League - Group 2 (11 points from 12 matches) and Baltika II sit 5th (22 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Baltika II | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 38 |
| 5 | Baltika II | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 22 |
| 10 | Spartak Moscow 2 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 11 |
| 13 | Spartak Moscow 2 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 25 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartak Moscow 2 vs Baltika II?
- The Footlab model makes Baltika II the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Spartak Moscow 2.
- Where and when is Spartak Moscow 2 vs Baltika II played?
- Spartak Moscow 2 vs Baltika II is played on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Futbol'noe pole 4 Akademiya Spartak im. F. Cherenkova, in the Second League - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.