Dinamo Tirana vs AF Elbasani: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Elbasan Arena, Elbasan
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Tirana the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for AF Elbasani. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Tirana vs AF Elbasani?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Dinamo Tirana (1,838) and AF Elbasani (1,812).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Tirana have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; AF Elbasani have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Auda(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Auda(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Aluminij(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Aluminij(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Laci(away) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Bate Borisov(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Bate Borisov(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| May 31, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër(away) | 2-1 | Superliga |
| May 24, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana(home) | 3-0 | Superliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dinamo Tirana win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 AF Elbasani win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | AF Elbasani 3-0 Dinamo Tirana | Superliga |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana 4-1 AF Elbasani | Superliga |
| Jan 25, 2026 | AF Elbasani 2-0 Dinamo Tirana | Superliga |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Dinamo Tirana 1-1 AF Elbasani | Superliga |
| Sep 14, 2025 | AF Elbasani 1-0 Dinamo Tirana | Superliga |
| Mar 16, 2025 | AF Elbasani 1-1 Dinamo Tirana | Superliga |
Last archived meeting: AF Elbasani vs Dinamo Tirana on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Tirana score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; AF Elbasani score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tirana | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| AF Elbasani | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Tirana sit 4th in Superliga (49 points from 36 matches) and AF Elbasani sit 2nd (62 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AF Elbasani | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 48 | 37 | 62 |
| 4 | Dinamo Tirana | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 43 | 33 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Tirana vs AF Elbasani?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Tirana the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for AF Elbasani.
- Where and when is Dinamo Tirana vs AF Elbasani played?
- Dinamo Tirana vs AF Elbasani is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Elbasan Arena, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.