Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Skenderbeu Korce: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Arena Egnatia, Rrogozhinë
The Footlab model makes Egnatia Rrogozhinë the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Skenderbeu Korce. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Skenderbeu Korce?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Egnatia Rrogozhinë (1,857) and Skenderbeu Korce (1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Egnatia Rrogozhinë have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Skenderbeu Korce have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Lillestrom(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers(home) | 5-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Celje(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Celje(home) | 3-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër(away) | 2-2 | Superliga |
| May 4, 2026 | Laci(home) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Pogradeci(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Kastrioti Krujë(home) | 4-0 | 1st Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Burreli(away) | 1-0 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Egnatia Rrogozhinë win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Skenderbeu Korce win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2025 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0-0 Skenderbeu Korce | Superliga |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Skenderbeu Korce 1-0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Superliga |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1-0 Skenderbeu Korce | Superliga |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Skenderbeu Korce 0-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Superliga |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Skenderbeu Korce 2-0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Superliga |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1-0 Skenderbeu Korce | Superliga |
Last archived meeting: Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Skenderbeu Korce on Apr 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Egnatia Rrogozhinë score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Skenderbeu Korce score 1.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Skenderbeu Korce | 1.5 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Skenderbeu Korce | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Skenderbeu Korce?
- The Footlab model makes Egnatia Rrogozhinë the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Skenderbeu Korce.
- Where and when is Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Skenderbeu Korce played?
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Skenderbeu Korce is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Egnatia, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.