Dinamo Tirana vs Tirana: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Elbasan Arena, Elbasan
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Tirana the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Tirana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Tirana vs Tirana?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Dinamo Tirana (1,823) and Tirana (1,753).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Tirana have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Tirana have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vora(home) | 0-1 | Superliga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Auda(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Auda(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Aluminij(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë(away) | 0-3 | Superliga |
| May 10, 2026 | AF Elbasani(away) | 3-1 | Superliga |
| May 6, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër(home) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| May 2, 2026 | Teuta Durrës(away) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Partizani(home) | 2-1 | Superliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Dinamo Tirana win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Tirana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana 1-1 Tirana | Superliga |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana 2-0 Tirana | Cup |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Tirana 0-2 Dinamo Tirana | Cup |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Tirana 1-1 Dinamo Tirana | Superliga |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Dinamo Tirana 6-2 Tirana | Superliga |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Tirana 1-2 Dinamo Tirana | Superliga |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Tirana vs Tirana on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Tirana score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tirana score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tirana | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Tirana | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Tirana sit 9th in Superliga (0 points from 1 matches) and Tirana sit 10th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Dinamo Tirana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | Tirana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Tirana vs Tirana?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Tirana the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Tirana.
- Where and when is Dinamo Tirana vs Tirana played?
- Dinamo Tirana vs Tirana is played on December 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Elbasan Arena, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.