Partizani vs AF Elbasani: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Arena e Demave, Tirana
The Footlab model makes AF Elbasani the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Partizani. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Partizani vs AF Elbasani?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Partizani (1,751) and AF Elbasani (1,812).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Partizani have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; AF Elbasani have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Teuta Durrës(home) | 0-0 | Superliga |
| May 22, 2026 | Vora(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana(home) | 2-1 | Superliga |
| May 6, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë(away) | 0-2 | Superliga |
| May 2, 2026 | Flamurtari(home) | 1-4 | Superliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Laci(away) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Bate Borisov(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Bate Borisov(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| May 31, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër(away) | 2-1 | Superliga |
| May 24, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana(home) | 3-0 | Superliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Partizani win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 AF Elbasani win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2026 | AF Elbasani 3-0 Partizani | Superliga |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Partizani 1-3 AF Elbasani | Cup |
| Feb 11, 2026 | AF Elbasani 0-1 Partizani | Cup |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Partizani 2-2 AF Elbasani | Superliga |
| Nov 28, 2025 | AF Elbasani 0-0 Partizani | Superliga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Partizani 0-1 AF Elbasani | Superliga |
Last archived meeting: AF Elbasani vs Partizani on Apr 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Partizani score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; AF Elbasani score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partizani | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| AF Elbasani | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Partizani sit 7th in Superliga (1 points from 1 matches) and AF Elbasani sit 6th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | AF Elbasani | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Partizani | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Partizani vs AF Elbasani?
- The Footlab model makes AF Elbasani the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Partizani.
- Where and when is Partizani vs AF Elbasani played?
- Partizani vs AF Elbasani is played on December 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Arena e Demave, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.