Diósgyőr II vs Ózd Sajóvölgye: prediction and stats
NB III - NortheastNortheast - 11Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)DVTK Edzőcentrum Füves Edzőpálya, Miskolc
The Footlab model makes Diósgyőr II the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Ózd Sajóvölgye. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Diósgyőr II vs Ózd Sajóvölgye?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Diósgyőr II (1,399) and Ózd Sajóvölgye (1,418).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Diósgyőr II have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Ózd Sajóvölgye have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Debrecen II(home) | 0-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gödöllő(home) | 1-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kisvárda II(away) | 2-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza II(away) | 1-3 | NB III - Northeast |
| May 24, 2026 | FC Hatvan(home) | 3-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Ibrány SE(away) | 2-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tarpa(home) | 4-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Cigand SE(home) | 0-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tiszafuredi VSE(away) | 2-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tiszaújváros(away) | 1-0 | NB III - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Diósgyőr II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Ózd Sajóvölgye win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Diósgyőr II 5-0 Ózd Sajóvölgye | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Ózd Sajóvölgye 3-6 Diósgyőr II | NB III - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Diósgyőr II vs Ózd Sajóvölgye on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Diósgyőr II score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ózd Sajóvölgye score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diósgyőr II | 1.4 | 1.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Ózd Sajóvölgye | 1.6 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Diósgyőr II sit 9th in NB III - Northeast (5 points from 4 matches) and Ózd Sajóvölgye sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ózd Sajóvölgye | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | Diósgyőr II | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Diósgyőr II vs Ózd Sajóvölgye?
- The Footlab model makes Diósgyőr II the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Ózd Sajóvölgye.
- Where and when is Diósgyőr II vs Ózd Sajóvölgye played?
- Diósgyőr II vs Ózd Sajóvölgye is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at DVTK Edzőcentrum Füves Edzőpálya, in the NB III - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.