Diyala vs Al-Karma: result 1-2 and analysis
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 3, 2026 at 03:45 PM (UTC)Al Ba'quba Stadium, Ba'quba
Full time
What was the result of Diyala vs Al-Karma?
Al-Karma won 1-2 on September 3, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 10′Marwan HamdyAl-Karma
- 66′Arafat Al HajAl-Karma
- 84′627457Diyala
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Al-Karma win at 53%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 0-1. Actual score: 1-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Diyala have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Al-Karma have 6, 8 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Al-Jolan SC(home) | 3-3 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Zakho(away) | 2-2 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Mosul(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Al Talaba(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Duhok(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Karbala(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Shorta(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mosul(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| May 27, 2026 | Diyala(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Diyala wins, 3 draws, 1 Al-Karma win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2026 | Al-Karma 1-0 Diyala | Iraqi League |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Diyala 1-1 Al-Karma | Iraqi League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Al-Karma 0-0 Diyala | Iraqi League |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Diyala 0-0 Al-Karma | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Diyala score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Karma score 1.4 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diyala | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Al-Karma | 1.4 | 0.6 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Diyala sit 11th in Iraqi League (9 points from 9 matches) and Al-Karma sit 1st (20 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
| 11 | Diyala | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 9 |
A question about Diyala vs Al-Karma?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy