Al-Karma vs Al-Jolan SC: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Al Ramadi Stadium, Ar Ramādī (Ramadi)
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Karma the favourite at 57%, against 27% for a draw and 16% for Al-Jolan SC. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Karma vs Al-Jolan SC?
Al-Karma starts as the favourite with a 167-point Elo edge (1,669 vs 1,502).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Karma vs Al-Jolan SC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Karma
Not enough data to predict the Al-Karma lineup.
Al-Jolan SC
Not enough data to predict the Al-Jolan SC lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 06:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Karma have 9 wins, 6 draws and 0 defeats; Al-Jolan SC have 3, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Karkh(home) | 3-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Zakho(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Erbil(away) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Naft(home) | 3-0 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Duhok(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Gharraf(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Al Talaba(away) | 2-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Newroz(home) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Zakho(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Karma score 1.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Jolan SC score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Karma | 1.5 | 0.6 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Al-Jolan SC | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 3/10 | 2/10 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Karma sit 1st in Iraqi League (23 points from 9 matches) and Al-Jolan SC sit 7th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 23 |
| 7 | Al-Jolan SC | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 14 |
A question about Al-Karma vs Al-Jolan SC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Karma vs Al-Jolan SC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Karma the favourite at 57%, against 27% for a draw and 16% for Al-Jolan SC.
- Where and when is Al-Karma vs Al-Jolan SC played?
- Al-Karma vs Al-Jolan SC is played on December 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Al Ramadi Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.