Diyala vs Erbil: result 1-0 and analysis
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 12, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Al-Madina International Stadium, Baghdad
Full time
What was the result of Diyala vs Erbil?
Diyala won 1-0 on May 12, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 86′C. OpareDiyala
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Diyala have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Erbil have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2025 | Al Zawra'a(away) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| May 2, 2025 | Al Najaf(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Zakho(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Naft Maysan(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2025 | Naft Maysan(home) | 3-2 | Iraqi League |
| May 2, 2025 | Karbala(away) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Apr 28, 2025 | Al Shorta(home) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Al-Karma(away) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Naft(home) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Diyala win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Erbil win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2024 | Erbil 2-1 Diyala | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Diyala score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Erbil score 0.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diyala | 0.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Erbil | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Diyala sit 8th in Iraqi League (3 points from 2 matches) and Erbil sit 1st (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erbil | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Diyala | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy