Match

Diyarbekirspor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Diyarbakır Atatürk Stadyumu, Diyarbakır

DiyarbekirsporMazıdağı Fosfatspor

The Footlab model makes Diyarbekirspor the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Mazıdağı Fosfatspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Diyarbekirspor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor?

A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Diyarbekirspor (1,523) and Mazıdağı Fosfatspor (1,591).

Diyarbekirspor win35 %
Draw31 %
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Diyarbekirspor have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Mazıdağı Fosfatspor have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Diyarbekirspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Kahramanmaraşspor(home)2-23. Lig - Group 2
Apr 12, 2026Kilis Belediyespor(away)4-03. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)0-13. Lig - Group 2
Mar 29, 2026Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(home)0-13. Lig - Group 2
Mar 25, 2026Kırşehir Belediyespor(away)1-13. Lig - Group 2
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 27, 2026Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)0-23. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 23, 2026Talasgücü Belediyespor(home)1-13. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 12, 2026Niğde Belediyesispor(away)1-03. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026Kahramanmaraşspor(home)0-23. Lig - Group 2
Mar 29, 2026Diyarbekirspor(away)1-03. Lig - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Diyarbekirspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 29, 2026Diyarbekirspor 0-1 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor3. Lig - Group 2
Dec 7, 2025Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 2-1 Diyarbekirspor3. Lig - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Diyarbekirspor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor on Mar 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Diyarbekirspor score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mazıdağı Fosfatspor score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Diyarbekirspor1.11.356/156/15
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor0.70.875/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Diyarbekirspor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor?
The Footlab model makes Diyarbekirspor the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Mazıdağı Fosfatspor.
Where and when is Diyarbekirspor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor played?
Diyarbekirspor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor is played on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Diyarbakır Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Diyarbekirspor and Mazıdağı Fosfatspor

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