Diyarbekirspor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Diyarbakır Atatürk Stadyumu, Diyarbakır
The Footlab model makes Diyarbekirspor the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Mazıdağı Fosfatspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Diyarbekirspor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Diyarbekirspor (1,523) and Mazıdağı Fosfatspor (1,591).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Diyarbekirspor have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Mazıdağı Fosfatspor have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kahramanmaraşspor(home) | 2-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Kilis Belediyespor(away) | 4-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Kırşehir Belediyespor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(home) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Niğde Belediyesispor(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Kahramanmaraşspor(home) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Diyarbekirspor(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Diyarbekirspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Diyarbekirspor 0-1 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 2-1 Diyarbekirspor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Diyarbekirspor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Diyarbekirspor score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mazıdağı Fosfatspor score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diyarbekirspor | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Mazıdağı Fosfatspor | 0.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Diyarbekirspor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor?
- The Footlab model makes Diyarbekirspor the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Mazıdağı Fosfatspor.
- Where and when is Diyarbekirspor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor played?
- Diyarbekirspor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor is played on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Diyarbakır Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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