Where and when is Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Diyarbekirspor played?

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Diyarbekirspor is played on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at 21 Kasım Şehir Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Diyarbekirspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)21 Kasım Şehir Stadyumu, Mardin

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor

Diyarbekirspor

The Footlab model makes Mazıdağı Fosfatspor the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Diyarbekirspor. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Diyarbekirspor?

A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Mazıdağı Fosfatspor (1,579) and Diyarbekirspor (1,511).

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win56 %

Draw26 %

Diyarbekirspor win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mazıdağı Fosfatspor have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Diyarbekirspor have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 27, 2026	Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)	0-2	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 23, 2026	Talasgücü Belediyespor(home)	1-1	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 12, 2026	Niğde Belediyesispor(away)	1-0	3. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026	Kahramanmaraşspor(home)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 2
Mar 29, 2026	Diyarbekirspor(away)	1-0	3. Lig - Group 2

Diyarbekirspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Kahramanmaraşspor(home)	2-2	3. Lig - Group 2
Apr 12, 2026	Kilis Belediyespor(away)	4-0	3. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026	Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 2
Mar 29, 2026	Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(home)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 2
Mar 25, 2026	Kırşehir Belediyespor(away)	1-1	3. Lig - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Diyarbekirspor win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 29, 2026	Diyarbekirspor 0-1 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor	3. Lig - Group 2
Dec 7, 2025	Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 2-1 Diyarbekirspor	3. Lig - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Diyarbekirspor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor on Mar 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Diyarbekirspor score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor	0.7	0.8	7	5/15	3/15
Diyarbekirspor	1.1	1.3	5	6/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Diyarbekirspor?: The Footlab model makes Mazıdağı Fosfatspor the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Diyarbekirspor.
Where and when is Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Diyarbekirspor played?: Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Diyarbekirspor is played on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at 21 Kasım Şehir Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.