Diyarbekirspor vs Niğde Belediyesispor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 32Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Diyarbakır Atatürk Stadyumu, Diyarbakır
The Footlab model makes Diyarbekirspor the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Niğde Belediyesispor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Diyarbekirspor vs Niğde Belediyesispor?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Diyarbekirspor (1,523) and Niğde Belediyesispor (1,541).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Diyarbekirspor have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Niğde Belediyesispor have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kahramanmaraşspor(home) | 2-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Kilis Belediyespor(away) | 4-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Kırşehir Belediyespor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(away) | 2-3 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Kırşehir Belediyespor(away) | 4-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 12 Bingölspor(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Diyarbekirspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Niğde Belediyesispor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Niğde Belediyesispor 1-0 Diyarbekirspor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Diyarbekirspor 0-3 Niğde Belediyesispor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Niğde Belediyesispor vs Diyarbekirspor on Jan 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Diyarbekirspor score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Niğde Belediyesispor score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diyarbekirspor | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Niğde Belediyesispor | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Diyarbekirspor vs Niğde Belediyesispor?
- The Footlab model makes Diyarbekirspor the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Niğde Belediyesispor.
- Where and when is Diyarbekirspor vs Niğde Belediyesispor played?
- Diyarbekirspor vs Niğde Belediyesispor is played on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Diyarbakır Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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