Where and when is Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor played?

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor is played on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Malatya Yeşiltepe Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 32Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Malatya Yeşiltepe Stadı, Malatya

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor

The Footlab model makes Yeşilyurt Belediyespor the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Mazıdağı Fosfatspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor?

A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Yeşilyurt Belediyespor (1,621) and Mazıdağı Fosfatspor (1,591).

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor win50 %

Draw28 %

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yeşilyurt Belediyespor have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Mazıdağı Fosfatspor have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 16, 2026	Çorluspor 1947(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Play-offs
May 8, 2026	Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)	4-3	3. Lig - Play-offs
May 4, 2026	Talasgücü Belediyespor(home)	0-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 27, 2026	Silifke Belediyespor(away)	1-1	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 23, 2026	Silifke Belediyespor(home)	3-1	3. Lig - Play-offs

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 27, 2026	Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)	0-2	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 23, 2026	Talasgücü Belediyespor(home)	1-1	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 12, 2026	Niğde Belediyesispor(away)	1-0	3. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026	Kahramanmaraşspor(home)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 2
Mar 29, 2026	Diyarbekirspor(away)	1-0	3. Lig - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 9, 2026	Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 1-0 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor	3. Lig - Group 2
Oct 4, 2025	Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 1-1 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor	3. Lig - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor on Feb 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mazıdağı Fosfatspor score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor	2.1	1.1	4	10/15	8/15
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor	0.7	0.8	7	5/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor?: The Footlab model makes Yeşilyurt Belediyespor the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Mazıdağı Fosfatspor.
Where and when is Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor played?: Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor is played on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Malatya Yeşiltepe Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.