Match

Diyarbekirspor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 21Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Diyarbakır Atatürk Stadyumu, Diyarbakır

DiyarbekirsporYeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

The Footlab model makes Diyarbekirspor the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Diyarbekirspor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu?

A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Diyarbekirspor (1,523) and Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu (1,531).

Diyarbekirspor win46 %
Draw27 %
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Diyarbekirspor have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Diyarbekirspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Kahramanmaraşspor(home)2-23. Lig - Group 2
Apr 12, 2026Kilis Belediyespor(away)4-03. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)0-13. Lig - Group 2
Mar 29, 2026Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(home)0-13. Lig - Group 2
Mar 25, 2026Kırşehir Belediyespor(away)1-13. Lig - Group 2
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jan 28, 2026 Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home)0-62. Lig
Jan 24, 2026Bursaspor(away)0-32. Lig
Jan 17, 202668 Aksaray Belediyespor(home)1-82. Lig
Dec 22, 2025Kırklarelispor(away)1-12. Lig
Dec 17, 2025Isparta 32 Spor(home)3-52. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Diyarbekirspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 2, 2025Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 4-0 Diyarbekirspor2. Lig
Oct 14, 2024Diyarbekirspor 0-0 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu2. Lig
Mar 10, 2024Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 2-1 Diyarbekirspor2. Lig
Oct 28, 2023Diyarbekirspor 0-2 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu2. Lig

Last archived meeting: Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Diyarbekirspor on Apr 2, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Diyarbekirspor score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu score 1.4 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Diyarbekirspor1.11.356/156/15
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu1.43.036/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Diyarbekirspor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu?
The Footlab model makes Diyarbekirspor the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu.
Where and when is Diyarbekirspor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu played?
Diyarbekirspor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Diyarbakır Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Diyarbekirspor and Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

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