Match

Osmaniyespor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 21Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Osmaniye 7 Ocak Stadyumu, Osmaniye

OsmaniyesporMazıdağı Fosfatspor

The Footlab model makes Osmaniyespor the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Mazıdağı Fosfatspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Osmaniyespor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor?

A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Osmaniyespor (1,536) and Mazıdağı Fosfatspor (1,591).

Osmaniyespor win38 %
Draw29 %
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osmaniyespor have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Mazıdağı Fosfatspor have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Osmaniyespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Kırşehir Belediyespor(away)2-03. Lig - Group 2
Apr 12, 202612 Bingölspor(home)1-23. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu(away)1-33. Lig - Group 2
Mar 28, 2026Kapadokyaspor(home)3-33. Lig - Group 2
Mar 24, 2026Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(away)2-33. Lig - Group 2
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 27, 2026Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)0-23. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 23, 2026Talasgücü Belediyespor(home)1-13. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 12, 2026Niğde Belediyesispor(away)1-03. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026Kahramanmaraşspor(home)0-23. Lig - Group 2
Mar 29, 2026Diyarbekirspor(away)1-03. Lig - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Osmaniyespor win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 11, 2026Osmaniyespor 0-3 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor3. Lig - Group 2
Sep 7, 2025Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 1-0 Osmaniyespor3. Lig - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Osmaniyespor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor on Jan 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Osmaniyespor score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mazıdağı Fosfatspor score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Osmaniyespor1.31.738/158/15
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor0.70.875/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Osmaniyespor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor?
The Footlab model makes Osmaniyespor the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Mazıdağı Fosfatspor.
Where and when is Osmaniyespor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor played?
Osmaniyespor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Osmaniye 7 Ocak Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Osmaniyespor and Mazıdağı Fosfatspor

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