Diyarbekirspor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Diyarbakır Atatürk Stadyumu, Diyarbakır
The Footlab model makes Yeşilyurt Belediyespor the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Diyarbekirspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Diyarbekirspor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Diyarbekirspor (1,511) and Yeşilyurt Belediyespor (1,609).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Diyarbekirspor have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Yeşilyurt Belediyespor have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kahramanmaraşspor(home) | 2-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Kilis Belediyespor(away) | 4-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Kırşehir Belediyespor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Çorluspor 1947(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(away) | 4-3 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 4, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Silifke Belediyespor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Silifke Belediyespor(home) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Diyarbekirspor win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 1-0 Diyarbekirspor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Diyarbekirspor 2-2 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 11, 2021 | Diyarbekirspor 3-3 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2020 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 0-1 Diyarbekirspor | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Feb 2, 2020 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 1-1 Diyarbekirspor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Sep 21, 2019 | Diyarbekirspor 2-0 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Diyarbekirspor on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Diyarbekirspor score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Yeşilyurt Belediyespor score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diyarbekirspor | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Yeşilyurt Belediyespor | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Diyarbekirspor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor?
- The Footlab model makes Yeşilyurt Belediyespor the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Diyarbekirspor.
- Where and when is Diyarbekirspor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor played?
- Diyarbekirspor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Diyarbakır Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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