Match

Diyarbekirspor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Diyarbakır Atatürk Stadyumu, Diyarbakır

DiyarbekirsporYeşilyurt Belediyespor

The Footlab model makes Yeşilyurt Belediyespor the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Diyarbekirspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Diyarbekirspor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor?

A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Diyarbekirspor (1,511) and Yeşilyurt Belediyespor (1,609).

Diyarbekirspor win28 %
Draw26 %
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Diyarbekirspor have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Yeşilyurt Belediyespor have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Diyarbekirspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Kahramanmaraşspor(home)2-23. Lig - Group 2
Apr 12, 2026Kilis Belediyespor(away)4-03. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)0-13. Lig - Group 2
Mar 29, 2026Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(home)0-13. Lig - Group 2
Mar 25, 2026Kırşehir Belediyespor(away)1-13. Lig - Group 2
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Çorluspor 1947(away)0-13. Lig - Play-offs
May 8, 2026Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)4-33. Lig - Play-offs
May 4, 2026Talasgücü Belediyespor(home)0-03. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 27, 2026Silifke Belediyespor(away)1-13. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 23, 2026Silifke Belediyespor(home)3-13. Lig - Play-offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Diyarbekirspor win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 22, 2026Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 1-0 Diyarbekirspor3. Lig - Group 2
Oct 18, 2025Diyarbekirspor 2-2 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor3. Lig - Group 2
Mar 11, 2021Diyarbekirspor 3-3 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor3. Lig - Group 1
Nov 1, 2020Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 0-1 Diyarbekirspor3. Lig - Group 1
Feb 2, 2020Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 1-1 Diyarbekirspor3. Lig - Group 3
Sep 21, 2019Diyarbekirspor 2-0 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor3. Lig - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Diyarbekirspor on Feb 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Diyarbekirspor score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Yeşilyurt Belediyespor score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Diyarbekirspor1.11.356/156/15
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor2.11.1410/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Diyarbekirspor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor?
The Footlab model makes Yeşilyurt Belediyespor the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Diyarbekirspor.
Where and when is Diyarbekirspor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor played?
Diyarbekirspor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Diyarbakır Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Diyarbekirspor and Yeşilyurt Belediyespor

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