Match

Yeni Malatyaspor vs Karaman FK: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Malatya Stadyumu, Malatya

Yeni MalatyasporKaraman FK

The Footlab model makes Karaman FK the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Yeni Malatyaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Yeni Malatyaspor vs Karaman FK?

Karaman FK starts as the favourite with a 168-point Elo edge (1,500 vs 1,333).

Yeni Malatyaspor win32 %
Draw27 %
Karaman FK win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yeni Malatyaspor have 0 wins, 2 draws and 13 defeats; Karaman FK have 2, 2 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Yeni Malatyaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2025Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home)0-02. Lig
Nov 2, 2025Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu(away)1-32. Lig
Oct 25, 20251461 Trabzon FK(home)0-42. Lig
Oct 19, 2025Muş Sport Klübü(away)1-32. Lig
Oct 11, 2025Aliağa FAŞ(away)1-82. Lig
Karaman FK
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Beykoz Anadolu(home)3-22. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Ankaraspor(away)4-52. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Muğlaspor(home)0-42. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Kastamonuspor(away)2-22. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Şanlıurfaspor(home)1-32. Lig

How many goals should we expect?

Yeni Malatyaspor score 0.6 and concede 4.5 goals per match over their last 15; Karaman FK score 1.0 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Yeni Malatyaspor0.64.519/1512/15
Karaman FK1.03.018/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Yeni Malatyaspor vs Karaman FK?
The Footlab model makes Karaman FK the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Yeni Malatyaspor.
Where and when is Yeni Malatyaspor vs Karaman FK played?
Yeni Malatyaspor vs Karaman FK is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Malatya Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Yeni Malatyaspor and Karaman FK

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