Yeni Malatyaspor vs Karaman FK: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Malatya Stadyumu, Malatya
The Footlab model makes Karaman FK the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Yeni Malatyaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yeni Malatyaspor vs Karaman FK?
Karaman FK starts as the favourite with a 168-point Elo edge (1,500 vs 1,333).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yeni Malatyaspor have 0 wins, 2 draws and 13 defeats; Karaman FK have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu(away) | 1-3 | 2. Lig |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1461 Trabzon FK(home) | 0-4 | 2. Lig |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 1-3 | 2. Lig |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Aliağa FAŞ(away) | 1-8 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Beykoz Anadolu(home) | 3-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ankaraspor(away) | 4-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Muğlaspor(home) | 0-4 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Kastamonuspor(away) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Şanlıurfaspor(home) | 1-3 | 2. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Yeni Malatyaspor score 0.6 and concede 4.5 goals per match over their last 15; Karaman FK score 1.0 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeni Malatyaspor | 0.6 | 4.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Karaman FK | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yeni Malatyaspor vs Karaman FK?
- The Footlab model makes Karaman FK the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Yeni Malatyaspor.
- Where and when is Yeni Malatyaspor vs Karaman FK played?
- Yeni Malatyaspor vs Karaman FK is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Malatya Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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