Dob vs Šobec Lesce: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 8Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Športni Park Dob, Dob pri Domžalah
The Footlab model makes Dob the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Šobec Lesce. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dob vs Šobec Lesce?
Dob starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (1,541 vs 1,388).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dob have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Šobec Lesce have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Škofja Loka(home) | 4-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tolmin(away) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 24, 2026 | Vipava(away) | 2-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 16, 2026 | Rudar Trbovlje(home) | 3-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 9, 2026 | Šencur(away) | 0-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Svoboda(home) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rudar Trbovlje(away) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | IB 1975 Ljubljana(home) | 4-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 17, 2026 | Izola(away) | 1-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 9, 2026 | Dren Vrhnika(home) | 1-5 | 3. SNL - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Dob win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Šobec Lesce win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Dob 1-2 Šobec Lesce | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Šobec Lesce 0-1 Dob | 3. SNL - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Dob score 2.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Šobec Lesce score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dob | 2.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Šobec Lesce | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dob sit 3rd in 3. SNL - West (4 points from 2 matches) and Šobec Lesce sit 9th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Dob | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Šobec Lesce | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dob vs Šobec Lesce?
- The Footlab model makes Dob the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Šobec Lesce.
- Where and when is Dob vs Šobec Lesce played?
- Dob vs Šobec Lesce is played on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Športni Park Dob, in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.