Vipava vs Litija: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 8Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion ob Beli, Vipava
The Footlab model makes Vipava the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Litija. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vipava vs Litija?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Vipava (1,366) and Litija (1,442).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vipava have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Litija have 3, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Žiri(home) | 1-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Škofja Loka(away) | 0-5 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 24, 2026 | Dob(home) | 2-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 16, 2026 | Tolmin(away) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 10, 2026 | Rudar Trbovlje(home) | 1-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rudar Trbovlje(home) | 1-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Izola(away) | 0-4 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Ilirija(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Kresnice(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2024 | Dragomer(away) | 5-2 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Vipava score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Litija score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vipava | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Litija | 1.1 | 2.5 | 2 | 2/8 | 5/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vipava sit 14th in 3. SNL - West (0 points from 2 matches) and Litija sit 12th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Litija | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 | Vipava | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vipava vs Litija?
- The Footlab model makes Vipava the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Litija.
- Where and when is Vipava vs Litija played?
- Vipava vs Litija is played on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ob Beli, in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.