Don Bosco vs TP Mazembe: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 17Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Frédéric Kibassa Maliba, Lubumbashi
The Footlab AI model makes TP Mazembe the favourite at 61%, against 26% for a draw and 13% for Don Bosco. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Don Bosco vs TP Mazembe?
TP Mazembe starts as the favourite with a 253-point Elo edge (1,960 vs 1,707).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Don Bosco vs TP Mazembe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Don Bosco
Not enough data to predict the Don Bosco lineup.
TP Mazembe
4-3-3- 20B. Beenga
- 13Cheick Oumar Abdallah Fofana
- 27G. Mujaya
- 28Jean Louis Barthelemy Diouf
- 11M. Ngimbi
- 17B. Ngalamulume
- 5A. Zon
- 26A. Fabrice
- 38L. Ameka
- 37P. Mwamba
- 33A. Faty
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Don Bosco have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; TP Mazembe have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | JSK(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | TP Mazembe(home) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Vita Club(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Céleste(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 3-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Céleste(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Don Bosco(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Don Bosco wins, 0 draws, 6 TP Mazembe wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2026 | Don Bosco 0-3 TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
| May 15, 2026 | TP Mazembe 4-2 Don Bosco | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | TP Mazembe 1-0 Don Bosco | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Don Bosco 0-3 TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 8, 2025 | Don Bosco 0-4 TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 23, 2025 | TP Mazembe 2-1 Don Bosco | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Don Bosco vs TP Mazembe on Jun 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Don Bosco score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; TP Mazembe score 1.8 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don Bosco | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| TP Mazembe | 1.8 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Don Bosco sit 3rd in Ligue 1 (56 points from 30 matches) and TP Mazembe sit 1st (73 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TP Mazembe | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 57 | 12 | 73 |
| 3 | Don Bosco | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43 | 24 | 56 |
A question about Don Bosco vs TP Mazembe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Don Bosco vs TP Mazembe?
- The Footlab AI model makes TP Mazembe the favourite at 61%, against 26% for a draw and 13% for Don Bosco.
- Where and when is Don Bosco vs TP Mazembe played?
- Don Bosco vs TP Mazembe is played on January 31, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Frédéric Kibassa Maliba, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.