Donau vs Oberwart: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - OstOst - 21Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz SV Donau, Wien
The Footlab model makes Oberwart the favourite at 57%, against 19% for a draw and 23% for Donau. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Donau vs Oberwart?
Oberwart starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,725 vs 1,547).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Donau have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Oberwart have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SV Horn(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Parndorf(away) | 1-6 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Krems / Rehberg(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Hellas Kagran(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wienerberg(home) | 5-2 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fach-Donaufeld(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Scheiblingkirchen(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wiener Viktoria(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 1-7 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Donau win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Oberwart win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | Oberwart 2-2 Donau | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Donau 1-0 Oberwart | Regionalliga - Ost |
How many goals should we expect?
Donau score 1.6 and concede 3.7 goals per match over their last 15; Oberwart score 2.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donau | 1.6 | 3.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Oberwart | 2.8 | 1.7 | 5 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Donau sit 15th in Regionalliga - Ost (2 points from 4 matches) and Oberwart sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Oberwart | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 9 |
| 9 | Oberwart | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Donau | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 15 | Donau | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Donau vs Oberwart?
- The Footlab model makes Oberwart the favourite at 57%, against 19% for a draw and 23% for Donau.
- Where and when is Donau vs Oberwart played?
- Donau vs Oberwart is played on March 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz SV Donau, in the Regionalliga - Ost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.