Doncaster vs Leicester: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 25Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster, South Yorkshire
The Footlab AI model makes Doncaster the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Leicester. The most likely score is 1-1. If Doncaster wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,373 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Doncaster vs Leicester?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Doncaster (1,834) and Leicester (1,856).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Doncaster vs Leicester
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Doncaster
3-4-1-2- 9B. Hanlan
- 10A. May
- 22R. Gotts
- 4O. Bailey
- 8G. Broadbent
- 11L. Ayinde
- 19J. Thomas
- 12N. Byrne
- 27S. Grehan
- 6J. McGrath
- 1Tommy Simkin
Leicester
4-2-3-1- 17E. Riis
- 37W. Alves
- 25L. Page
- 11L. Cullen
- 6J. Lundstram
- 14B. De Cordova-Reid
- 33L. Thomas
- 16W. O'Hora
- 32O. Aluko
- 5C. Okoli
- 29A. McCarthy
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Doncaster have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Leicester have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Burton Albion(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Liverpool U21(home) | 1-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 1-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Peterborough(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Fulham U21(home) | 6-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Barnsley(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 4-3 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Doncaster wins, 0 draws, 2 Leicester wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2014 | Leicester 1-0 Doncaster | Championship |
| Oct 5, 2013 | Doncaster 1-0 Leicester | Championship |
| Apr 7, 2012 | Leicester 4-0 Doncaster | Championship |
| Dec 17, 2011 | Doncaster 2-1 Leicester | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Leicester vs Doncaster on May 3, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
Doncaster score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leicester score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doncaster | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Leicester | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Doncaster sit 16th in League One (9 points from 8 matches) and Leicester sit 17th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Doncaster | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| 17 | Leicester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 9 |
A question about Doncaster vs Leicester?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Doncaster vs Leicester?
- The Footlab AI model makes Doncaster the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Leicester.
- Where and when is Doncaster vs Leicester played?
- Doncaster vs Leicester is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Eco-Power Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.