Burton Albion vs Peterborough: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 25Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pirelli Stadium, Burton-upon-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab model makes Burton Albion the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Peterborough. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burton Albion vs Peterborough?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Burton Albion (1,798) and Peterborough (1,784).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burton Albion have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Peterborough have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leicester(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stevenage(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mansfield Town(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bradford(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | York(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Burton Albion win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Peterborough win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Peterborough 1-1 Burton Albion | League One |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Burton Albion 0-1 Peterborough | League One |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Burton Albion 2-2 Peterborough | League One |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Peterborough 0-1 Burton Albion | League One |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Burton Albion 1-3 Peterborough | League One |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Peterborough 4-0 Burton Albion | League One |
Last archived meeting: Peterborough vs Burton Albion on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Burton Albion score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Peterborough score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion | 0.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Peterborough | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burton Albion sit 7th in League One (4 points from 2 matches) and Peterborough sit 13th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Burton Albion | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 13 | Peterborough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burton Albion vs Peterborough?
- The Footlab model makes Burton Albion the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Peterborough.
- Where and when is Burton Albion vs Peterborough played?
- Burton Albion vs Peterborough is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Pirelli Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.