Burton Albion vs Peterborough: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 25Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pirelli Stadium, Burton-upon-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Burton Albion the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Peterborough. The most likely score is 1-1. If Burton Albion wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,876 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burton Albion vs Peterborough?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Burton Albion (1,834) and Peterborough (1,846).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Burton Albion vs Peterborough
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Burton Albion
3-4-2-1- 19M. Dennis
- 17R. Borges Rodrigues
- 4K. Chauke
- 8C. Webster
- 14W. Collar
- 3J. Armer
- 24Harvey Araujo
- 16C. Tilt
- 26F. Delap
- 12G. Evans
- 34C. Addai
Peterborough
4-2-3-1- 9H. Leonard
- 4L. Kelly
- 11O. Edwards
- 19Bolu Shofowoke
- 45Harry Ashfield
- 10Ethan Williams
- 14Harley Mills
- 2C. Johnston
- 12Joshua Feeney
- 18Lucca Mendonça
- 1A. Bass
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 02:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burton Albion have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Peterborough have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Doncaster(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Burton Albion(home) | 2-2 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Leicester(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Ipswich Town U21(home) | 4-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 3-1 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Burton Albion win, 3 draws, 2 Peterborough wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Peterborough 2-2 Burton Albion | League One |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Peterborough 1-1 Burton Albion | League One |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Burton Albion 0-1 Peterborough | League One |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Burton Albion 2-2 Peterborough | League One |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Peterborough 0-1 Burton Albion | League One |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Burton Albion 1-3 Peterborough | League One |
Last archived meeting: Peterborough vs Burton Albion on Oct 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Burton Albion score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Peterborough score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Peterborough | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burton Albion sit 10th in League One (13 points from 11 matches) and Peterborough sit 19th (9 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Burton Albion | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 13 |
| 19 | Peterborough | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 9 |
A question about Burton Albion vs Peterborough?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burton Albion vs Peterborough?
- The Footlab AI model makes Burton Albion the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Peterborough.
- Where and when is Burton Albion vs Peterborough played?
- Burton Albion vs Peterborough is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Pirelli Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.