Dorogi FC vs Pápai Perutz: prediction and stats
NB III - NorthwestNorthwest - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Buzánszky Jenő Stadion, Dorog
The Footlab model makes Dorogi FC the favourite at 89%, against 8% for a draw and 4% for Pápai Perutz. The most likely score is 3-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dorogi FC vs Pápai Perutz?
Dorogi FC starts as the favourite with a 239-point Elo edge (1,550 vs 1,311).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dorogi FC have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Pápai Perutz have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Móri SE(away) | 7-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | 1908 SZAC(away) | 7-0 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Király SZE(away) | 0-0 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Veszprém(home) | 6-0 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Balatonalmádi(home) | 4-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Komárom(away) | 2-4 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Veszprém(home) | 1-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1908 SZAC(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Király SZE(home) | 0-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Haladás VSE(home) | 1-1 | NB III - Northwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Dorogi FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Pápai Perutz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Pápai Perutz 1-2 Dorogi FC | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 27, 2025 | Dorogi FC 4-0 Pápai Perutz | NB III - Northwest |
Last archived meeting: Pápai Perutz vs Dorogi FC on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dorogi FC score 2.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pápai Perutz score 1.3 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorogi FC | 2.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Pápai Perutz | 1.3 | 2.6 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dorogi FC sit 1st in NB III - Northwest (10 points from 4 matches) and Pápai Perutz sit 10th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dorogi FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Pápai Perutz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dorogi FC vs Pápai Perutz?
- The Footlab model makes Dorogi FC the favourite at 89%, against 8% for a draw and 4% for Pápai Perutz.
- Where and when is Dorogi FC vs Pápai Perutz played?
- Dorogi FC vs Pápai Perutz is played on September 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Buzánszky Jenő Stadion, in the NB III - Northwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.