Tatabánya vs Király SZE: prediction and stats
NB III - NorthwestNorthwest - 7Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Grosics Gyula Stadion, Tatabánya
The Footlab model makes Tatabánya the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Király SZE. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tatabánya vs Király SZE?
Tatabánya starts as the favourite with a 299-point Elo edge (1,635 vs 1,336).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tatabánya have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Király SZE have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kapuvari SE(away) | 2-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SC Sopron(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bicskei(home) | 3-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Puskás II(away) | 4-0 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Gyori ETO II(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Northwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Haladás VSE(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Dorogi FC(home) | 0-0 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | MTE 1904(away) | 2-3 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pápai Perutz(away) | 1-0 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 2, 2025 | MTE 1904(home) | 1-4 | Magyar Kupa |
How many goals should we expect?
Tatabánya score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Király SZE score 0.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatabánya | 2.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Király SZE | 0.9 | 2.3 | 3 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tatabánya sit 6th in NB III - Northwest (7 points from 4 matches) and Király SZE sit 11th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tatabánya | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 11 | Király SZE | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tatabánya vs Király SZE?
- The Footlab model makes Tatabánya the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Király SZE.
- Where and when is Tatabánya vs Király SZE played?
- Tatabánya vs Király SZE is played on September 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Grosics Gyula Stadion, in the NB III - Northwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.