Dourados Atlético vs Ivinhema: prediction and stats
Sul-MatogrossenseMatchday 4Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Francisco Chaves Filho, Itaporã, Mato Grosso do Sul
The Footlab AI model makes Dourados Atlético the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Ivinhema. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dourados Atlético wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dourados Atlético vs Ivinhema?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Dourados Atlético (1,504) and Ivinhema (1,499).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dourados Atlético vs Ivinhema
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dourados Atlético
4-3-3- 9Luan Miguel
- 20Keslley dos Santos Lopes
- GGabriel Barcos
- 10Diego Rosa
- HHippólito
- 11Flaviano
- 6Thiago Moura
- JJúnior Prego
- LLeo de Souza Junior
- ÁÁdson
- 1Felipe
Ivinhema
Not enough data to predict the Ivinhema lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dourados Atlético have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Ivinhema have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Corumbaense(away) | 0-2 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Corumbaense(home) | 1-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 1, 2026 | CR Aquidauana(home) | 3-3 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Corumbaense(away) | 0-2 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Bataguassu(home) | 7-2 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2026 | Democrata GV(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Democrata GV(home) | 3-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 14, 2026 | CRAC(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| May 31, 2026 | Uberlandia(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| May 23, 2026 | Ipatinga(away) | 0-3 | Serie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Dourados Atlético wins, 1 draw, 1 Ivinhema win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Ivinhema 1-1 Dourados Atlético | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Ivinhema 1-0 Dourados Atlético | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Dourados Atlético 1-0 Ivinhema | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Ivinhema 1-2 Dourados Atlético | Sul-Matogrossense |
Last archived meeting: Ivinhema vs Dourados Atlético on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dourados Atlético score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ivinhema score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dourados Atlético | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Ivinhema | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dourados Atlético sit 6th in Sul-Matogrossense (10 points from 9 matches) and Ivinhema sit 4th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ivinhema | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| 6 | Dourados Atlético | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 10 |
A question about Dourados Atlético vs Ivinhema?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dourados Atlético vs Ivinhema?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dourados Atlético the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Ivinhema.
- Where and when is Dourados Atlético vs Ivinhema played?
- Dourados Atlético vs Ivinhema is played on January 31, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Francisco Chaves Filho, in the Sul-Matogrossense.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.