CR Aquidauana vs Naviraiense: prediction and stats
Sul-MatogrossenseMatchday 4Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes CR Aquidauana the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Naviraiense. The most likely score is 1-1. If CR Aquidauana wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 5,832 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CR Aquidauana vs Naviraiense?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate CR Aquidauana (1,463) and Naviraiense (1,509).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CR Aquidauana vs Naviraiense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CR Aquidauana
Not enough data to predict the CR Aquidauana lineup.
Naviraiense
Not enough data to predict the Naviraiense lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 05:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, CR Aquidauana have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Naviraiense have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Dourados Atlético(away) | 3-3 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Pantanal(home) | 2-0 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Ivinhema(away) | 0-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Águia Negra(away) | 3-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Corumbaense(home) | 1-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Bataguassu(home) | 0-4 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Bataguassu(away) | 1-0 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Águia Negra(away) | 2-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Operario Ferroviario(home) | 0-0 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Costa Rica (away) | 1-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 CR Aquidauana wins, 0 draws, 1 Naviraiense win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | CR Aquidauana 1-2 Naviraiense | Sul-Matogrossense |
Last archived meeting: CR Aquidauana vs Naviraiense on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CR Aquidauana score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 9; Naviraiense score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CR Aquidauana | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1 | 6/9 | 4/9 |
| Naviraiense | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CR Aquidauana sit 7th in Sul-Matogrossense (10 points from 9 matches) and Naviraiense sit 1st (18 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Naviraiense | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 18 |
| 7 | CR Aquidauana | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 10 |
A question about CR Aquidauana vs Naviraiense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CR Aquidauana vs Naviraiense?
- The Footlab AI model makes CR Aquidauana the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Naviraiense.
- Where and when is CR Aquidauana vs Naviraiense played?
- CR Aquidauana vs Naviraiense is played on January 30, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Sul-Matogrossense.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.