Doxa Dramas vs Aetos Orfani: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 1Group 1 - 4Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Doxas Dramas, Drama
The Footlab model makes Doxa Dramas the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Aetos Orfani. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Doxa Dramas vs Aetos Orfani?
Doxa Dramas starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,633 vs 1,522).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Doxa Dramas have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Aetos Orfani have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Poseidon Nea Michaniona(away) | 3-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Iraklis Therm.(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Panthrakikos(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Xanthi FC(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Aetos Orfani(home) | 3-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Panthrakikos(away) | 1-5 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Poseidon Nea Michaniona(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Xanthi FC(home) | 0-7 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Iraklis Therm.(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Doxa Dramas(away) | 2-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Doxa Dramas win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Aetos Orfani win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Doxa Dramas 3-2 Aetos Orfani | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Aetos Orfani 2-0 Doxa Dramas | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Doxa Dramas 2-1 Aetos Orfani | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Doxa Dramas vs Aetos Orfani on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Doxa Dramas score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Aetos Orfani score 1.6 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doxa Dramas | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Aetos Orfani | 1.6 | 2.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Doxa Dramas sit 3rd in Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 (43 points from 22 matches) and Aetos Orfani sit 6th (33 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Doxa Dramas | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 25 | 43 |
| 6 | Aetos Orfani | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 37 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Doxa Dramas vs Aetos Orfani?
- The Footlab model makes Doxa Dramas the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Aetos Orfani.
- Where and when is Doxa Dramas vs Aetos Orfani played?
- Doxa Dramas vs Aetos Orfani is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Doxas Dramas, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.