MAS Ardas Kastanion vs Thrakis: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 1Group 1 - 4Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes MAS Ardas Kastanion the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Thrakis. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MAS Ardas Kastanion vs Thrakis?
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MAS Ardas Kastanion vs Thrakis?
- The Footlab model makes MAS Ardas Kastanion the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Thrakis.
- Where and when is MAS Ardas Kastanion vs Thrakis played?
- MAS Ardas Kastanion vs Thrakis is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.