Doxa Dramas vs Kavala: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 1Group 1 - 14Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Doxas Dramas, Drama
The Footlab model makes Doxa Dramas the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Kavala. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Doxa Dramas vs Kavala?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Doxa Dramas (1,633) and Kavala (1,621).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Doxa Dramas have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Kavala have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Poseidon Nea Michaniona(away) | 3-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Iraklis Therm.(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Panthrakikos(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Xanthi FC(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Aetos Orfani(home) | 3-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Nestos Chrisoupolis(home) | 2-2 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Makedonikos Neapolis(home) | 5-1 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | PAS Giannina(away) | 1-3 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Kampaniakos Chalastra(away) | 0-2 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | PAOK II(home) | 2-1 | Super League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Doxa Dramas win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Kavala win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | Doxa Dramas 0-1 Kavala | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Kavala 3-1 Doxa Dramas | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Kavala 3-1 Doxa Dramas | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Doxa Dramas 1-1 Kavala | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 2, 2014 | Doxa Dramas 2-1 Kavala | Football League |
| Nov 24, 2013 | Kavala 0-0 Doxa Dramas | Football League |
Last archived meeting: Doxa Dramas vs Kavala on Mar 24, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Doxa Dramas score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kavala score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doxa Dramas | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Kavala | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Doxa Dramas | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 25 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Doxa Dramas vs Kavala?
- The Footlab model makes Doxa Dramas the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Kavala.
- Where and when is Doxa Dramas vs Kavala played?
- Doxa Dramas vs Kavala is played on January 31, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Doxas Dramas, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.