Thrakis vs Aetos Orfani: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 1Group 1 - 14Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Thrakis the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Aetos Orfani. The most likely score is 1-1. If Thrakis wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,653 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thrakis vs Aetos Orfani?
On Elo ratings, Thrakis has 1,570 points and Aetos Orfani 1,613.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Thrakis vs Aetos Orfani
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Thrakis
Not enough data to predict the Thrakis lineup.
Aetos Orfani
Not enough data to predict the Aetos Orfani lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 08:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Thrakis have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Aetos Orfani have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | MAS Ardas Kastanion(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Xanthi FC(home) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pontion Nea Amisos(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kavala(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Doxa Dramas(away) | 1-5 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | MAS Ardas Kastanion(home) | 4-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Doxa Neo Sidirochori(away) | 3-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Xanthi FC(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Panthrakikos(away) | 1-5 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Thrakis score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 4; Aetos Orfani score 1.6 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thrakis | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1 | 2/4 | 1/4 |
| Aetos Orfani | 1.6 | 2.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aetos Orfani | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 37 | 33 |
A question about Thrakis vs Aetos Orfani?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thrakis vs Aetos Orfani?
- The Footlab AI model makes Thrakis the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Aetos Orfani.
- Where and when is Thrakis vs Aetos Orfani played?
- Thrakis vs Aetos Orfani is played on January 31, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.