Doxa Dramas vs MAS Ardas Kastanion: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 1Group 1 - 8Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Doxas Dramas, Drama
The Footlab AI model makes Doxa Dramas the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for MAS Ardas Kastanion. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,189 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Doxa Dramas vs MAS Ardas Kastanion?
Doxa Dramas starts as the favourite with a 209-point Elo edge (1,778 vs 1,568).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Doxa Dramas vs MAS Ardas Kastanion
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Doxa Dramas
Not enough data to predict the Doxa Dramas lineup.
MAS Ardas Kastanion
Not enough data to predict the MAS Ardas Kastanion lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 07:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Doxa Dramas have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; MAS Ardas Kastanion have 2, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Kavala(away) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Aetos Orfani(home) | 5-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Doxa Neo Sidirochori(home) | 3-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Eleftheroupolis(away) | 4-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Apollon Paralimniou(home) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Apollon Paralimniou(away) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Thrakis(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Aetos Orfani(away) | 1-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Xanthi FC(away) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pontion Nea Amisos(home) | 3-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Doxa Dramas score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; MAS Ardas Kastanion score 1.4 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doxa Dramas | 2.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| MAS Ardas Kastanion | 1.4 | 2.2 | 0 | 3/5 | 4/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Doxa Dramas | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 25 | 43 |
A question about Doxa Dramas vs MAS Ardas Kastanion?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Doxa Dramas vs MAS Ardas Kastanion?
- The Footlab AI model makes Doxa Dramas the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for MAS Ardas Kastanion.
- Where and when is Doxa Dramas vs MAS Ardas Kastanion played?
- Doxa Dramas vs MAS Ardas Kastanion is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Doxas Dramas, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.