Doxa vs Ethnikos Achna: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Peristerona, Peristerona
The Footlab model makes Ethnikos Achna the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Doxa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Doxa vs Ethnikos Achna?
Ethnikos Achna starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,697 vs 1,567).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Doxa have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Ethnikos Achna have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ayia Napa(home) | 0-3 | 2. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(away) | 1-5 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | MEAP Nisou(away) | 2-0 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | PAEEK(home) | 0-0 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Nea Salamis(away) | 1-2 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| May 9, 2026 | Enosis(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| May 1, 2026 | Akritas(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Olympiakos(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(away) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Doxa win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Ethnikos Achna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2024 | Doxa 6-3 Ethnikos Achna | 1. Division |
| Apr 3, 2024 | Ethnikos Achna 1-2 Doxa | 1. Division |
| Feb 1, 2024 | Doxa 0-2 Ethnikos Achna | 1. Division |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Ethnikos Achna 2-0 Doxa | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Ethnikos Achna 2-0 Doxa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 12, 2023 | Doxa 5-1 Ethnikos Achna | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Doxa vs Ethnikos Achna on May 10, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Doxa score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ethnikos Achna score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doxa | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Ethnikos Achna | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Doxa | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 23 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Doxa vs Ethnikos Achna?
- The Footlab model makes Ethnikos Achna the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Doxa.
- Where and when is Doxa vs Ethnikos Achna played?
- Doxa vs Ethnikos Achna is played on December 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Peristerona, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.