Ermis vs Doxa: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 18, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Aradippou, Aradippou
The Footlab AI model makes Ermis the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Doxa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ermis wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ermis vs Doxa?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Ermis (1,630) and Doxa (1,610).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ermis vs Doxa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ermis
4-3-1-2- DD. Paroutis
- 9A. Papathanasiou
- AA. Bruce
- AA. Karamoko
- SS. Kafataris
- 77I. Georghiou
- JJ. Boom
- TT. Liasides
- NN. Achahbar
- CC. Charalampous
- AA. Chrysostomou
Doxa
Not enough data to predict the Doxa lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ermis have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Doxa have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Polemidion(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | PAEEK(home) | 1-2 | 2. Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Akritas(home) | 2-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kedros Agia Marina(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Halkanoras(away) | 4-3 | 2. Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Anagennisi Deryneia(home) | 2-1 | 2. Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | APEA(away) | 3-3 | 2. Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ayia Napa(home) | 0-3 | 2. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(away) | 1-5 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ermis win, 3 draws, 2 Doxa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2021 | Ermis 0-1 Doxa | 1. Division |
| Feb 27, 2021 | Doxa 1-1 Ermis | 1. Division |
| Feb 8, 2021 | Ermis 2-1 Doxa | 1. Division |
| Nov 21, 2020 | Doxa 0-0 Ermis | 1. Division |
| Mar 31, 2019 | Ermis 0-4 Doxa | 1. Division |
| Feb 17, 2019 | Doxa 1-1 Ermis | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Ermis score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Doxa score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ermis | 1.3 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Doxa | 1.4 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ermis sit 6th in 2. Division (6 points from 3 matches) and Doxa sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Doxa | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
| 6 | Ermis | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
A question about Ermis vs Doxa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ermis vs Doxa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ermis the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Doxa.
- Where and when is Ermis vs Doxa played?
- Ermis vs Doxa is played on December 18, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Aradippou, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.