Dravinja vs Slovan Ljubljana: prediction and stats
2. SNLRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Štadion Dobrava, Slovenske Konjice
The Footlab model makes Dravinja the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Slovan Ljubljana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dravinja vs Slovan Ljubljana?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Dravinja (1,470) and Slovan Ljubljana (1,466).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dravinja have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Slovan Ljubljana have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dren Vrhnika(away) | 0-2 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bilje(home) | 1-3 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ilirija(away) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| May 23, 2026 | Jesenice(away) | 1-0 | 2. SNL |
| May 16, 2026 | Krško(home) | 2-1 | 2. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Krka(away) | 3-2 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Beltinci(home) | 3-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dekani(away) | 0-3 | 2. SNL |
| May 23, 2026 | Bistrica(away) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| May 17, 2026 | Tabor Sežana(home) | 5-1 | 2. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Dravinja win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Slovan Ljubljana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Dravinja 2-1 Slovan Ljubljana | 2. SNL |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Slovan Ljubljana 0-1 Dravinja | 2. SNL |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Slovan Ljubljana 2-1 Dravinja | 2. SNL |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Dravinja 1-0 Slovan Ljubljana | 2. SNL |
Last archived meeting: Dravinja vs Slovan Ljubljana on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dravinja score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Slovan Ljubljana score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dravinja | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Slovan Ljubljana | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dravinja sit 16th in 2. SNL (0 points from 3 matches) and Slovan Ljubljana sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Slovan Ljubljana | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 16 | Dravinja | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dravinja vs Slovan Ljubljana?
- The Footlab model makes Dravinja the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Slovan Ljubljana.
- Where and when is Dravinja vs Slovan Ljubljana played?
- Dravinja vs Slovan Ljubljana is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Štadion Dobrava, in the 2. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.