Ilirija vs Beltinci: prediction and stats
2. SNLRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Športni park Ilirija, Ljubljana
The Footlab model makes Beltinci the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Ilirija. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ilirija vs Beltinci?
Beltinci starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,632 vs 1,498).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilirija have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Beltinci have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rudar(home) | 2-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bistrica(away) | 6-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dravinja(home) | 1-0 | 2. SNL |
| May 22, 2026 | Beltinci(home) | 1-3 | 2. SNL |
| May 15, 2026 | Gorica(away) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Primorje(home) | 4-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slovan Ljubljana(away) | 1-3 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rudar(home) | 2-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Sharjah FC(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ilirija win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Beltinci win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Ilirija 1-3 Beltinci | 2. SNL |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Ilirija 0-1 Beltinci | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Beltinci 3-1 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
| May 10, 2025 | Ilirija 2-2 Beltinci | 2. SNL |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Beltinci 1-2 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
| May 5, 2024 | Beltinci 1-2 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Ilirija score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Beltinci score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilirija | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Beltinci | 1.8 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ilirija sit 2nd in 2. SNL (9 points from 3 matches) and Beltinci sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ilirija | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 | Beltinci | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ilirija vs Beltinci?
- The Footlab model makes Beltinci the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Ilirija.
- Where and when is Ilirija vs Beltinci played?
- Ilirija vs Beltinci is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Športni park Ilirija, in the 2. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.