Dren Vrhnika vs Bistrica: prediction and stats
2. SNLRegular Season - 19Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Športni park Vrhnika, Vrhnika
The Footlab model makes Dren Vrhnika the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Bistrica. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dren Vrhnika vs Bistrica?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Dren Vrhnika (1,594) and Bistrica (1,568).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dren Vrhnika have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Bistrica have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dravinja(home) | 2-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brežice(away) | 2-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Triglav(home) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| May 23, 2026 | Rudar Trbovlje(away) | 4-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 16, 2026 | Šencur(home) | 2-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bilje(away) | 4-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ilirija(home) | 0-6 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Krka(away) | 0-0 | 2. SNL |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Lecce(away) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Voitsberg(away) | 4-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Dren Vrhnika win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Bistrica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2024 | Dren Vrhnika 1-3 Bistrica | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Dren Vrhnika vs Bistrica on Oct 29, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Dren Vrhnika score 2.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bistrica score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dren Vrhnika | 2.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Bistrica | 1.5 | 2.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dren Vrhnika sit 4th in 2. SNL (6 points from 3 matches) and Bistrica sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dren Vrhnika | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Bistrica | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dren Vrhnika vs Bistrica?
- The Footlab model makes Dren Vrhnika the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Bistrica.
- Where and when is Dren Vrhnika vs Bistrica played?
- Dren Vrhnika vs Bistrica is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Športni park Vrhnika, in the 2. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.