Dren Vrhnika vs Jesenice: prediction and stats
2. SNLRegular Season - 23Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Športni park Vrhnika, Vrhnika
The Footlab model makes Dren Vrhnika the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Jesenice. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dren Vrhnika vs Jesenice?
Dren Vrhnika starts as the favourite with a 213-point Elo edge (1,607 vs 1,394).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dren Vrhnika have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Jesenice have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dravinja(home) | 2-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brežice(away) | 2-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Triglav(home) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| May 23, 2026 | Rudar Trbovlje(away) | 4-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 16, 2026 | Šencur(home) | 2-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Dekani(away) | 2-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Krško(home) | 1-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tabor Sežana(home) | 0-3 | 2. SNL |
| May 23, 2026 | Dravinja(home) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| May 15, 2026 | Krka(away) | 2-3 | 2. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Dren Vrhnika score 2.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Jesenice score 0.7 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dren Vrhnika | 2.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Jesenice | 0.7 | 2.2 | 1 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dren Vrhnika sit 4th in 2. SNL (6 points from 3 matches) and Jesenice sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dren Vrhnika | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Jesenice | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dren Vrhnika vs Jesenice?
- The Footlab model makes Dren Vrhnika the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Jesenice.
- Where and when is Dren Vrhnika vs Jesenice played?
- Dren Vrhnika vs Jesenice is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Športni park Vrhnika, in the 2. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.